12:53 A.M. To put the finishing touches on the evening, “Life of Pi” was the big winner with 4 Oscars including Best Director. “Argo” took home 3 trophies to boot including Best Picture, the one that really counts. “Les Misérables” had a nice haul of 3 as well, winning Anne Hathaway her first Oscar! “Django Unchained,” “Lincoln,” and “Skyfall” each won a pair of Academy Awards too.
Thanks for tuning in, everyone! You were a wonderful audience! And you helped make this a banner night for the site as well, breaking my all-time daily traffic record.
Check back tomorrow for my Monday morning wrap-up where I attempt to break down the implications of the night, the best-dressed women, and the precise moment I went and returned from heaven during the “Les Misérables” cast reunion. Take care, readers and Oscar watchers!
11:59 P.M. Aww, Ben Affleck and Jennifer Garner. And what an incredible speech of redemption, justice, and vindication!
11:58 P.M. Giving the Academy the finger with the mention of Affleck as a director.
11:56 P.M. What a wild ride for Ben Affleck. Congratulations to all involved on this fantastic movie!
11:55 P.M. BEST PICTURE: “ARGO“
11:53 P.M. Because Bill Clinton on the Golden Globes wasn’t enough, Michelle Obama had to upstage everyone at the Oscars…
11:52 P.M. Does Jack Nicholson always present Best Picture?
11:51 P.M. Biggest shocker of the night! A nice, eloquent speech as always. History has been made … and will probably be made again when he takes his next role.
11:48 P.M. BEST ACTOR: DANIEL DAY-LEWIS, “LINCOLN“
11:43 P.M. BEST ACTRESS: JENNIFER LAWRENCE, “SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK“
11:36 P.M. If “Life of Pi” does not win Best Picture, that means Ang Lee will have won Best Director twice and never won Best Picture.
11:34 P.M. BEST DIRECTOR: ANG LEE, “LIFE OF PI“
11:29 P.M. Ugh, really? Guess my distaste for Tarantino’s latest really killed my ballot.
11:26 P.M. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: “DJANGO UNCHAINED“
11:24 P.M. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: “ARGO“
11:17 P.M. You da bomb, Adele! The whole world loves you!
11:16 P.M. BEST ORIGINAL SONG: SKYFALL FROM “SKYFALL“
11:10 P.M. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: “LIFE OF PI“
11:00 P.M. We miss you, Nora Ephron!
10:57 P.M. In memoriam, it always gets me…
10:49 P.M. BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN: “LINCOLN“
10:36 P.M. No one can silence a room quite like Adele. She is unbelievable.
10:33 P.M. BEST FILM EDITING: “ARGO“
10:25 P.M. YES YES YES! “It came true,” channeling her best Mia Thermopolis. And such a beautiful line about Fantines in real life!
10:22 P.M. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: ANNE HATHAWAY, “LES MISERABLES“
10:19 P.M. TIME FOR BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS!
10:16 P.M. So cool, never thought I’d see a tie in my lifetime! This is awesome!
10:14 P.M. BEST SOUND EDITING: (tie) “ZERO DARK THIRTY” and “SKYFALL“
10:11 P.M. BEST SOUND MIXING: “LES MISERABLES“
10:10 P.M. Glad Seth MacFarlane can joke about his movie’s mediocrity.
10:07 P.M. Is this what heaven is like? Oh my god!
10:05 P.M. HYPERVENTILATION!
10:03 P.M. I CAN DIE HAPPY NOW! THIS IS SO FANTASTIC!
10:02 P.M. LES MIS LES MIS LES MIS LES MIS I AM DYING
9:59 P.M. Jennifer Hudson being amazing is good enough. Why has she disappeared?!
9:57 P.M. HOW CAN THEY DO “DREAMGIRLS” WITHOUT BEYONCE!?!
9:54 P.M. I’ll never look at “Chicago” the same way. Catherine Zeta-Jones sounds awful and looks like a totally different person than the woman that won the Oscar 10 years ago.
9:53 P.M. I’m sorry, but I just can’t take John Travolta seriously…
9:50 P.M. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: “AMOUR“
9:45 P.M. “Jaws” theme again? Wow, so rude.
9:44 P.M. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: “SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN”
9:41 P.M. “The actor who really got inside Abraham Lincoln’s head was John Wilkes Booth.” Yeah, maybe too soon…
9:40 P.M. By breaking up the Best Picture nominees into 3 trios, I hope this doesn’t mean they think they can get away with not doing one giant montage…
9:37 P.M. The modern American superhero who isn’t American … Liam Neeson.
9:36 P.M. Darn, there goes my streak of getting all the short films right.
9:35 P.M. BEST SHORT FILM (DOCUMENTARY): “INOCENTE”
9:33 P.M. Love that feeling of getting a short film prediction right!
9:32 P.M. BEST SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION): “CURFEW”
9:30 P.M. This is how I knew who Shirley Bassey was…
9:27 P.M. Pretty impressive finish for Shirley Bassey there.
9:21 P.M. So glad “Les Misérables” isn’t going home empty handed!
9:20 P.M. BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING: “LES MISERABLES“
9:17 P.M. BEST COSTUME DESIGN: “ANNA KARENINA“
9:11 P.M. What a terrible way to play someone off – with “Jaws!” He was trying to say something meaningful about their company that was going bankrupt and they just totally cut him off!
9:1o P.M. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: “LIFE OF PI“
9:07 P.M. BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: “LIFE OF PI“
9:05 P.M. Awkwardly missing Scarlett Johansson on “The Avengers” reunion … now it’s a sausage fest.
9:04 P.M. Adorable flexing Quvenzhané Wallis! “I really hope I don’t lose to that old lady, Jennifer Lawrence!”
9:02 P.M. Chills all over again for “Les Misérables.”
9:00 P.M. Well, sorry for ever doubting Pixar owned this category, except when they don’t.
9:00 P.M. BEST ANIMATED FILM: “BRAVE“
8:59 P.M. So great of the Academy to send out all the short films!
8:58 P.M. BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM: “PAPERMAN”
8:57 P.M. Never mind, misread the envelope.
8:56 P.M. Screenplay already?! Not again….
8:55 P.M. Loving all this “E.T.” music!
8:52 P.M. Well, I guess lightning does strike twice. The same performance wins another Best Supporting Actor Oscar.
8:50 P.M. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: CHRISTOPH WALTZ, “DJANGO UNCHAINED“
8:45 P.M. Sally Field, what a great sport!
8:42 P.M. So THAT’S why Daniel Radcliffe and Joseph Gordon-Levitt showed up to their first Oscars (which is a fact that surprises me).
8:40 P.M. Channing Tatum and Charlize Theron seem like an odd couple to be doing this dance … but they have some kind of grace! This reminds me of a “Family Guy” episode with all these random tangents.
8:37 P.M. This “we saw your boobs” number is true but just rubs me wrong…
8:31 P.M. Really, Tommy Lee Jones? Way to break character! Jimmy Fallon, you are in good company…
8:29 P.M. TIME FOR THE SHOW TO START!
8:20 P.M. Reminder to COMMENT and I will answer!
8:18 P.M. By my count, “Life of Pi“ wins five, “Argo“ and “Les Misérables“ take three, and “Amour“ and “Silver Linings Playbook“ steals two trophies. How’s that for spreading it around?
8:10 P.M. Best Picture. The holy grail.
Best Picture
“Amour“
“Argo“
“Beasts of the Southern Wild“
“Django Unchained“
“Les Misérables“
“Life of Pi“
“Lincoln“
“Silver Linings Playbook“
“Zero Dark Thirty“
Will win: “Argo“
Could win: “Silver Linings Playbook“
Should win: “Les Misérables“
Should be nominated: “The Master“
Only the second movie since 1930 to win Best Picture without a Best Director nomination – that is the feat “Argo“ looks to pull off tonight. On nomination day, I wrote “All that talk of it being a surprise come-from-behind winner all just came to a screeching halt with that Best Director snub.” That has quickly been proven dead wrong as it wins top honors from the Critics Choice, Golden Globes, PGA, DGA, SAG, and BAFTA. If it only had that pesky Best Director nomination, we wouldn’t think twice.
What looked to be a tough race to predict has been blown wide open by “Argo.” But if anything will prove us wrong, it would be “Silver Linings Playbook.” Then “Lincoln.” Then “Life of Pi.”
8:05 P.M. Ladies are looking PHENOMENAL tonight. Scroll down for Chastain, and also check out Anne Hathaway, Amy Adams, and Jennifer Lawrence!
8:00 P.M. Best Director will be more interesting tonight than it has been in quite some time … will they do it before or after the leading acting races? Hopefully it’s just right before Best Picture.
Best Director
Michael Haneke, “Amour“
Ang Lee, “Life of Pi“
David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln“
Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts of the Southern Wild“
Will win: Ang Lee, “Life of Pi“
Could win: David O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Should win: Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts of the Southern Wild“
Should be nominated: Kathryn Bigelow, “Zero Dark Thirty“
A part of me wonders if David O. Russell won’t steal this, but his nomination for Best Adapted Screenplay could lead to some vote splitting. Steven Spielberg just doesn’t feel right, not with how “Lincoln” seems to have faded at the end of the season. Ang Lee’s work on “Life of Pi” just seems director-y, so something tells me I ought to pick him.
7:50 P.M. The “breath of fresh air” category of all former winners – Best Supporting Actor. Who will win their second – or third – Oscar? Saved this category towards the end because I was still thinking about it…
Best Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin, “Argo”
Robert DeNiro, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”
Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln“
Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”
Will win: Robert DeNiro, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Could win: Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln“
Should win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”
Should be nominated: Eddie Redmayne, “Les Misérables“
He hasn’t won anything yet. But it’s a gut feeling I’ve had since the nominations. SAG winner Tommy Lee Jones or Globe/BAFTA winner Christoph Waltz seem to be more safe or likely choices. But if Riva upsets Lawrence, they run the risk of nominating “Silver Linings Playbook” for all acting awards and then giving it zero wins. I don’t think that happens, so DeNiro wins on sympathy and insurance votes.
7:40 P.M. The Best Actress race is crazy tight this year, and I will be on the edge of my seat as the envelope is opened.
Best Actress
Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty“
Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour“
Quvenzhané Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
Naomi Watts, “The Impossible”
Will win: Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Could win: Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour“
Should win: Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty“
Should be nominated: Marion Cotillard, “Rust and Bone”
Between the Golden Globe, the SAG, and “The Hunger Games,” this is Lawrence’s year. There seems to be a late surge for Riva with her BAFTA win, but I think Jennifer Lawrence should take this one.
7:32 P.M. How incredible does she look?!
7:30 P.M. I mean, do I even need to predict the next two categories?
Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, “The Master”
Sally Field, “Lincoln“
Anne Hathaway, “Les Misérables“
Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”
Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Will win: Anne Hathaway, “Les Misérables“
Could win: Sally Field, “Lincoln“
Should win: Anne Hathaway, “Les Misérables“
Should be nominated: Shirley MacLaine, “Bernie”
Duh.
Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook“
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln“
Hugh Jackman, “Les Misérables“
Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”
Denzel Washington, “Flight”
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln“
Could win: Hugh Jackman, “Les Misérables“
Should win: Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”
Should be nominated: Jack Black, “Bernie”
Again, duh.
7:20 P.M. Best Adapted Screenplay is one of the night’s most unpredictable races involving five major Best Picture contenders. Who will win?
Best Adapted Screenplay
“Argo“
“Beasts of the Southern Wild“
“Life of Pi“
“Lincoln“
“Silver Linings Playbook“
Will win: “Argo“
Could win: “Silver Linings Playbook“
Should win: “Argo”
Should be nominated: “Bernie”
Again, since they can’t give Best Director to Ben Affleck, they’ll give “Argo” some consolation prizes so it doesn’t ONLY win Best Picture. Perhaps this is where “Silver Linings Playbook” breaks through, but I think the momentum is unstoppable for “Argo.”
7:00 P.M. Time to move into the heavy hitters … can’t believe some of these people will be holding a golden statue soon!
Best Original Screenplay
“Amour”
“Django Unchained”
“Flight”
“Moonrise Kingdom”
“Zero Dark Thirty”
Will win: “Amour“
Could win: “Zero Dark Thirty”
Should win: “Zero Dark Thirty”
Should be nominated: “The Master”
“Zero Dark Thirty” may be too controversial, but it did win the WGA. However, it was not competing against Quentin Tarantino’s “Django Unchained” nor Michael Haneke’s “Amour.” I’m seeing a foreign film triumph like in 2002 when “Talk to Her” unexpectedly took the trophy. Just a gut feeling I have.
6:55 P.M. Jennifer Lawrence just referenced “Father of the Bride” – MARRY ME!
6:53 P.M. The sound categories always prove to be a bit of a conundrum – do you predict a split? They haven’t done so since 2008!
Best Sound Mixing
“Argo“
“Les Misérables”
“Life of Pi“
“Lincoln“
“Skyfall”
Will win: “Les Misérables”
Could win: “Life of Pi“
Should win: “Les Misérables”
Should be nominated: “The Impossible”
Did you know they sang live on “Les Misérables?” No movie has shone more of a light on sound mixing than this one, so it should handily win. And musicals always seem to score here.
Best Sound Editing
“Argo“
“Django Unchained”
“Life of Pi“
“Skyfall”
“Zero Dark Thirty“
Will win: “Life of Pi“
Could win: “Skyfall”
Should win: “Zero Dark Thirty“
Should be nominated: “The Impossible”
A “Life of Pi” technical sweep should get back on track and take the other sound category.
6:46 P.M. Cute Quvenzhané Wallis and her adorable puppy purse!
6:45 P.M. Best Film Editing, according to Dave Karger, is an even more necessary nomination than Best Director. So having said that…
Best Film Editing
“Argo“
“Life of Pi“
“Lincoln“
“Silver Linings Playbook“
“Zero Dark Thirty“
Will win: “Argo”
Could win: “Life of Pi“
Should win: “Zero Dark Thirty“
Should be nominated: “The Master”
6:35 P.M. Happy one year anniversary, Angelina Jolie’s protruding right leg!
6:30 P.M. Best Cinematography is a category I appreciate more and more each year. So who will take it for 2012?
Best Cinematography
“Anna Karenina”
“Django Unchained”
“Life of Pi”
“Lincoln”
“Skyfall”
Will win: “Life of Pi”
Could win: “Skyfall”
Should win: “Skyfall”
Should be nominated: “Les Misérables”
I think it would be great if Roger Deakins, a perennial Oscar bridesmaid, won for his superb lensing of “Skyfall.” But his name isn’t on the ballot, just the movie’s name. And there seems to be a Bond bias in the Academy. So I say the technical domination of “Life of Pi” continues here.
6:20 P.M. That one time I ran into an Oscar nominee. It’s super casual.
(That’s Emmanuelle Riva of “Amour,” in case you couldn’t tell.)
6:15 P.M. Almost forgot the other two short film categories … whoops!
Best Documentary Short
“Inocente”
“Kings Point”
“Mondays at Racine”
“Open Heart”
“Redemption”
Will win: “Mondays at Racine”
Could win: “Open Heart”
I’m thinking heartstrings-tugger “Mondays at Racine,” about two female cancer patients who become unlikely friends, will triumph over “Open Heart.” The latter seems to similar to “Saving Face,” last year’s winner in the category about reconfiguring women’s faces in Pakistan that have been disfigured by acid.
Best Live Action Short
“Asad”
“Buzkashi Boys”
“Curfew”
“Death of a Shadow”
“Henry”
Will win: “Curfew”
Could win: “Death of a Shadow”
I did my research and “Curfew” sounded right, but now I don’t remember what it was about. I do remember that Matthias Schoenaerts of “Rust and Bone” was in “Death of a Shadow,” though.
6:05 P.M. Eddie Redmayne arrives! Why isn’t he nominated for Best Supporting Actor?!
6:00 P.M. What was once “Best Makeup” is now “Best Makeup and Hairstyling.” So that adds a whole new dimension to the category (slightly kidding, slightly serious).
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Hitchcock”
“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
“Les Misérables”
Will win: “Les Misérables”
Could win: “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
Should win: “Les Misérables”
Should be nominated: “Holy Motors”
Consider how much that makeup and hairstyling contributed to Anne Hathaway’s soon-to-be-Oscar winning performance. I think that’s enough to trump the showier styles of “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey.”
5:45 P.M. Time for my predictions for the costume drama awards. The movies that win here are usually made solely to win these Oscars.
Best Costume Design
“Anna Karenina”
“Les Misérables”
“Lincoln”
“Mirror Mirror”
“Snow White and the Huntsman”
Will win: “Anna Karenina”
Could win: “Les Misérables“
Should win: “Anna Karenina”
Should be nominated: “Moonrise Kingdom”
I mean, “Anna Karenina” is way too gorgeous to be passed up here.
Best Production Design
“Anna Karenina”
“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
“Les Misérables”
“Life of Pi”
“Lincoln”
Will win: “Anna Karenina”
Could win: “Life of Pi“
Should win: “Anna Karenina”
Should be nominated: “Beasts of the Southern Wild”
Some say the digital scenery of “Life of Pi” will triumph over the traditionally Oscar-y sets of “Anna Karenina,” like how “Avatar” won in 2009. And maybe it will, indicating a HUGE technical sweep for the movie. But I think given that the scenery and setting of “Anna Karenina” is a major plot device, it will walk away with the award.
4:45 P.M. 84, soon to be 85 years of Oscar, all in one picture. Awesome.
4:00 P.M. I saw all the Best Picture nominees so you don’t. Here are some of my favorite quotes from my reviews of each nominated film.
“Amour”
At times, it can be fairly difficult to watch … but how hunky-dory do you want movies about death to be? How can you even begin to comprehend the ennui of watching someone slowly lose their grip on life when you are treated to watch from a coolly removed distance?
“Argo”
However, I don’t attribute the success of “Argo” merely to coincidence and fate. The movie works because it was meticulously and intentionally crafted by director Ben Affleck, who continues to make leaps and bounds with each movie he makes.
Have no doubt about it, “Beasts” is a movie that could only by an uncorrupted visionary like Zeitlin. His ambition soars to the sky, and even in the rare occasions where it falls short, we are left in awe of the sheer gutsiness of the decision.
[R]ather than use the forward momentum to lead to further exploration of his craft, Tarantino chose to take a victory lap fueled by the high of inhaling too much of the exhaust fumes of his own success. ”Django Unchained” just feels like Tarantino on autopilot, lacking the vibrancy or surprising eccentricity of his prior films.
Even when the novelty of the close-ups wears off, we are still left to ponder just how radical and revolutionary Hooper’s “Les Misérables” is. The musical genre has favored sweeping grandiosity for years in an attempt to replicate the stage experience for cinematic audiences. Hooper, on the other hand, respects the live theatre’s conventions but throws out those that do not translate well to screen.
The core ideas of “Life of Pi” get diluted, passed over in favor of a little more cinematic grandeur. Don’t get me wrong, Lee’s grand canvas for the movie is exciting and stunning. But I can get that in any movie; few dare to delve into the psyche like he meagerly attempted to do.
“Lincoln”
Once the process wraps up, it is revealed that Kushner and Spielberg are really more interested in hagiography than biography with “Lincoln.” While it delves deeper than just mere Honest Abe iconography, their film is not one that attempts to tell his story.
Russell’s editing facilitates emotional rapport, [and] the two feel like parts of ourselves that we usually try to pretend don’t exist. But on screen and embodied by Cooper and Lawrence, we embrace them and allow them to illuminate the crazy that lives within us all.
Through the journalistic proceedings of “Zero Dark Thirty,” Boal cleverly utilizes Maya as an important through-line to keep us drawn in. And Chastain in turns creates a character so scarily resolute that we can’t help but root and cheer for her.
3:45 P.M. Remember when “Zero Dark Thirty” was the frontrunner for Best Picture? Read my piece for “LAMB Devours the Oscars” to see what happened to what was once a prized darling.
3:30 P.M. Animation is a little tougher than normal this year…
Best Animated Feature
“Brave”
“Frankenweenie”
“ParaNorman”
“The Pirates: Band of Misfits”
“Wreck-It Ralph”
Will win: “Wreck-It Ralph”
Could win: “Brave”
Should win: “Wreck-It Ralph”
A few years ago, it would be unimaginable that Pixar could lose this category. They may not cede their turf tonight, to be fair. “Brave” won the Golden Globe and BAFTA, but “Wreck-It Ralph” had better reviews and took the PGA and Annie Award. I admit to picking the movie I think is clearly better and hoping the Academy feels the same way. But they could remind us that this category belongs to the studio of Woody and Buzz.
Best Short Film – Animated
“Adam and Dog”
“Fresh Guacamole”
“Head Over Heels”
“Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare”
“Paperman”
Will win: “Paperman”
Could win: “Adam and Dog”
Should win: “Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare”
Disney’s short film “Paperman” should clean up here. It seems like the most substantial nominee, but I could be totally wrong. I saw it before “Wreck-It Ralph” and was very impressed with the way it rehashed silent film charm.
3:15 P.M. “Zero Dark Thirty” jokes are fun.
3:00 P.M. Visual effects are fun. Check out some of these awesome videos demonstrating how the nominated films came together on a computer!
Best Visual Effects
“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
“Snow White and the Huntsman”
Will win: “Life of Pi”
Could win: “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
Should win: “Life of Pi”
Should be nominated: “The Impossible”
Best Picture nominees have dominated this category since 2008, so I give the advantage to “Life of Pi.” On the other hand, “The Lord of the Rings” did win this category three times in a row, so a sneak attack is possible.
2:45 P.M. Some more predictions for you … again, I consider these to be pretty much no-brainers.
Best Documentary Feature
“5 Broken Cameras”
“The Gatekeepers”
“How to Survive a Plague”
“The Invisible War”
“Searching for Sugar Man”
Will win: “Searching for Sugar Man”
Could win: “The Invisible War”
Should win: “The Invisible War”
Should be nominated: “The Queen of Versailles”
Have only seen two of the nominated films, so I can’t speak much from my own aesthetic tastes. But “Searching for Sugar Man” has been totally dominant on the precursors circuit, and I don’t expect its dominance to let up now.
Best Foreign Language Film
“Amour”
“Kon-Tiki”
“No”
“A Royal Affair”
“War Witch”
Will win: “Amour”
Could win: “Kon-Tiki”
Should win: “No”
Should be nominated: “Rust and Bone”
Are any movies other than “Amour” in this category nominated for Best Picture? Nope, didn’t think so. Some have speculated crowd-pleasing “Kon-Tiki” could pull a “The Lives of Others”-style upset on Michael Haneke’s downer, but I think that’s doubtful at best.
And I base my should win for “No” on the trailer, which is seriously AMAZING! Shameless plug:
2:30 P.M. Honest posters for the Best Picture nominees. So incredibly accurate.
2:25 P.M. Subtext?
2:15 P.M. Might as well start some predictions. What better place to start than with the music categories? This year’s ceremony promises to be quite a celebration of music between performances by Adele, Norah Jones, Barbra Streisand, and Shirley Bassey. There’s also the celebration of “Chicago,” “Dreamgirls,” and “Les Misérables.” And the show will close with a number by host Seth MacFarlane and Kristin Chenoweth. Oy.
Best Score
“Anna Karenina,” Dario Marianelli
“Argo,” Alexandre Desplat
“Life of Pi,” Mychael Danna
“Lincoln,” John Williams
“Skyfall,” Thomas Newman
Will win: “Life of Pi”
Could win: “Argo”
Should win: “Anna Karenina”
Should be nominated: “The Master,” Jonny Greenwood
Really don’t have any sense of certainty, but “Life of Pi” certainly seems to be headed towards a large below-the-line haul. And it won the Golden Globe. Perhaps if the momentum for “Argo” extends beyond Best Picture, it will lift up Best Score. It would be a much-deserved win for workhorse Alexandre Desplat. Then again, we also should not count out John Williams EVER. But I don’t think that will happen with the lack of “Lincoln” love in the late phase of the season.
Best Song
Before My Time from “Chasing Ice,” music and lyrics by J. Ralph
Suddenly from “Les Misérables,” music by Claude-Michel Schönberg, lyrics by Herbert Kretzmer and Alain Boublil
Pi’s Lullaby from “Life of Pi,” music by Mychael Danna, lyrics by Bombay Jayashri
Skyfall from “Skyfall,” music and lyrics by Adele Adkins and Paul Epworth
Everybody Needs a Best Friend from “Ted,” music by Walter Murphy, lyrics by Seth MacFarlane
Will win: Skyfall from “Skyfall”
Could win: Suddenly from “Les Misérables”
Should win: Skyfall from “Skyfall”
Should be nominated: Who Were We from “Holy Motors”
Easiest race of the night to call. It’s “Skyfall” all the way.
2:00 P.M. Kids Oscars. Let’s go!
1:50 P.M. Feel free to comment below and I will respond in the post itself!
1:45 P.M. For reference’s sake, many people will refer to tonight’s proceedings as “The 2013 Academy Awards.” In fact, probably most people will. But I, for whatever reason, choose to refer to the ceremony by the calendar year in which the nominated films were released.
1:40 P.M. Already a quick note to the E! hostesses … stick to fashion, please. Leave punditry to Dave Karger. “Argo” will not win “Best Oscar,” it will win “Best Picture.”
1:30 P.M. Who the heck is already watching Oscars red carpet coverage?! ME, of course! I can’t get enough of this stuff, who cares if no one famous shows up for 5 hours? I’m now on my fourth live Oscars blog, and it has quickly become one of my favorite parts of the night. I love sharing my thoughts with everyone – and also being able to go back and see my thoughts from past ceremonies.
(If curious, check out the live blogs from 2011, 2010, and 2009.)
So who will win Best Picture, Best Director, and other coveted trophies? In a few hours, we will know. But in the meantime, we have this list of nine…
I know that I’m a movie blogger by name, but if you’ll allow me a brief aside, I’d like to address a different field altogether. I, like many Americans this summer, have been following the developments in the trial of Casey Anthony. Today, to the shock (and disgust) of many captivated American television watchers, she was acquitted of murdering her two-year-old daughter, Caylee.
Just last Christmas, “
But how can Americans have strayed so far from the ideals of our Founding Fathers? In my opinion, it’s the means of information that induce such expectations for violent ends. It’s a tired argument, I know. Let’s blame the media and putting cameras in courtrooms for everything! But in this case, the drive for ratings and good television has muddled the distinction between justice and vengeance by adding entertainment to the mix. We have become convinced that the American legal system is only doing its job when it’s convicting people because there is too much crime in this country for punishment to be spared.
While I’m indulging in pessimism at the moment, I don’t believe this condemnation is a final verdict on America’s fate. Now perhaps more than ever, I think “12 Angry Men” rings true and relevant. The movie revolves around a twelve man jury deliberating a case based on reasonable doubt, not unlike the Casey Anthony trial. When they enter the deliberation move, it seems that all will vote guilty. However, one juror known as #8, played by the noble Henry Fonda, votes in dissent. Over the course of Sidney Lumet’s movie, #8 tries to convince the other jurors that their mental picture of the defendant is not enough to justify a vote. As he so eloquently puts it, “It’s not easy to raise my hand and send a boy off to die without talking about it first …We’re talking about somebody’s life here.”
How much would you pay to own a piece of cinematic history? If you’re looking for a way to waste some time (other than blogging or reading them), click on over to eBay and search movie memorabilia. They were selling napkins from the “Mr. Deeds” set once, but there’s also plenty of really cool stuff that I would buy if I had a bigger disposable income. (Or a disposable income that didn’t go all towards feeding myself.)
When I was 10, I heard a five-second clip of Catberine Zeta-Jones singing “All That Jazz” from the movie “Chicago” on the news and suddenly became obsessed. I bought the soundtrack knowing nothing of the movie but those five seconds.
This edition of “Oscar Moment” concerns one of the favorites since last year’s Oscars finished. People have huge expectations for “Nine,” and if it fails to live up to them, the repercussions could be disastrous. It has every reason to succeed, though, based on a pedigree so impressive that it could be never be matched again. It has been a favorite in the Oscar race ever since it was announced; however, at the time of this posting, it remains a wild card in the race because no one has seen the full film yet.
So if Cotillard goes lead, who will be the nominee(s) for Best Supporting Actress? Despite all the talent, history tells us that “Nine” will probably be limited to two nominees in the category. Only “Tom Jones” in 1963 managed to sneak in three women; that movie won 4 Oscars including Best Picture. More notable though is that it did not collect the statue for Best Supporting Actress. The loss is due to a familiar phenomenon: vote splitting. It is how “Dreamgirls” and “Enchanted” managed to lose Best Original Song. Voters want to reward the movie, but they can’t rally behind a single nominee and someone else wins. But luckily for “Nine,” Harvey Weinstein has played this game many times. My guess is that he will start campaigning all the actresses evenly, but as more reviews come in and people see the movie, he will push the clear favorite.
At this time, the favorite is unknown. But based on the Broadway productions of the musical, an educated guess can be formed. In the original Broadway production, the Tony Award winner for Best Featured Actress was Liliane Montevecchi for her portrayal of Lilliane, Guido’s producer. In the movie, Liliane will be played by Judi Dench, who won this category back in 1998 for playing Queen Elizabeth for all of six minutes in “Shakespeare in Love.” Dench also has 5 other nominations, only one of which came from the supporting category. However, the research I have done seems to suggest that Lilliane is not a very flashy role. She does not have a solo song, and even if she is an integral part of other numbers, that seems to suggests that she is more of a subtle presence than a central part of the plot. (This is my interpretation from three years of musical theater experience.)
The remaining prospects left to touch on are Sophia Loren, who plays Guido’s mother, and Nicole Kidman, who plays Claudia, the star of Guido’s new movie. Guido’s mother barely appears in the plot summary anywhere, so I can only see a nomination plausible for Loren if the Academy falls head over heels for “Nine” and nominates Loren for nostalgic purposes. Although I will say, Guido’s mother sings the titular track “Nine,” and it is the sweet thing that melts voters. Claudia, on the other hand, has several beautiful numbers with Guido. Nicole Kidman has shown her capability with handling musicals – in fact, it’s how she got her first Academy Award nomination. But as for being an audience or critical favorite, Claudia has seem to have fallen short on Broadway. The role was only nominated for one major award, the slightly less prestigious Drama Desk, during its two runs on the Great White Way. I am most excited to see how this story plays out; that is, if audiences treasure Kidman especially or if she plays second fiddle to the other actresses like on stage.
Marshall and the Movies 
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